INSA poll of 12 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 May 2020
- Respondents
- 2,061
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU37.5%±0
- Grüne16.5%-0.5
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.5%±0
- FDP6.5%+0.5
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 May 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.5%, followed by Grüne on 16.5%. 2,061 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 May 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 May 2020, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.7average 15.7
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 38.4
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- FDP +0.8average 5.7
- Linke -0.3average 7.8
- Grüne +0.1average 16.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU254
- Grüne112
- SPD95
- AfD74
- Linke51
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.