INSA poll of 18 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 May 2020
- Respondents
- 2,092
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU37.0%-0.5
- Grüne18.0%+1.5
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD10.5%-0.5
- Linke7.5%±0
- FDP6.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 May 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,092 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 May 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 May 2020, Grüne gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.7 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.7average 15.7
- Grüne +1.6average 16.4
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 38.1
- AfD +0.3average 10.2
- Linke -0.3average 7.8
- FDP +0.3average 5.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU250
- Grüne122
- SPD95
- AfD71
- Linke51
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.