Single poll
INSA poll of 4 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 May 2020
- Respondents
- 2,101
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,101 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 May 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Apr 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.2average 16.2
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 38.1
- Grüne +0.6average 16.4
- Linke -0.3average 7.8
- FDP +0.3average 5.7
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU251
- Grüne114
- SPD101
- AfD74
- Linke50
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 28 Apr 2020INSA, 12 May 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.