Single poll

INSA poll of 28 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
24 to 27 Apr 2020
Respondents
2,071
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-0.5
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • SPD15.5%+0.5
  • AfD10.5%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-0.5
  • Others6.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Apr 2020.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 2,071 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Apr 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Apr 2020, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.2average 5.8
  • Grüne -0.8average 16.8
  • Linke -0.8average 7.8
  • SPD -0.6average 16.1
  • AfD +0.5average 10.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 37.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 255 seatsGrüne: 107 seatsSPD: 104 seatsAfD: 70 seatsFDP: 47 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU255
  • Grüne107
  • SPD104
  • AfD70
  • FDP47
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke349 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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