INSA poll of 21 April 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 2,054
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU38.5%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD10.5%±0
- Linke7.5%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Apr 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.5%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 2,054 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Apr 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 35.8
- Grüne -2.0average 18.0
- SPD -1.6average 16.6
- FDP +1.2average 5.8
- Linke -0.4average 7.9
- AfD +0.1average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU256
- Grüne107
- SPD100
- AfD70
- Linke50
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP353 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.