INSA poll of 14 April 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 14 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 2,108
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU37.5%-0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- AfD10.5%+0.5
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- FDP7.0%+1.5
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Apr 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.5%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,108 people were surveyed from 9 to 14 Apr 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Apr 2020, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.6 points higher and Grüne 2.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.6average 34.9
- Grüne -2.6average 18.6
- FDP +1.2average 5.8
- SPD -0.6average 16.6
- Linke -0.4average 7.9
- AfD ±0average 10.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU250
- SPD107
- Grüne106
- AfD70
- Linke50
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + SPD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP347 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.