Single poll

INSA poll of 6 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
3 to 6 Apr 2020
Respondents
2,062
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+3.0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-2.0
  • Linke7.0%-0.5
  • FDP5.5%-1.0
  • Others5.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Mar 2020.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,062 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Apr 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 5.2 points higher and Grüne 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +5.2average 32.8
  • Grüne -2.3average 20.3
  • Linke -1.2average 8.2
  • AfD -0.6average 10.6
  • FDP -0.5average 6.0
  • SPD -0.3average 16.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 253 seatsGrüne: 120 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 47 seatsFDP: 37 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU253
  • Grüne120
  • SPD106
  • AfD67
  • Linke47
  • FDP37
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD320 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP337 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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