INSA poll of 31 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 2,061
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.0%+1.5
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- FDP6.5%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Mar 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,061 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Mar 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Mar 2020, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 4.5 points higher and Grüne 3.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +4.5average 30.5
- Grüne -3.3average 21.3
- Linke -1.2average 8.7
- AfD +0.8average 11.2
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- FDP +0.1average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- Grüne121
- SPD100
- AfD80
- Linke50
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.