INSA poll of 24 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 2,070
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU33.5%+5.0
- Grüne20.0%-3.0
- SPD15.0%+0.5
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%-2.5
- FDP6.5%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Mar 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,070 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Mar 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 5.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, Linke loses 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 5.1 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +5.1average 28.4
- Grüne -1.9average 21.9
- Linke -1.9average 8.9
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- FDP -0.2average 6.7
- AfD -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU224
- Grüne134
- SPD101
- AfD80
- Linke47
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.