INSA poll of 16 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 2,049
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.5%+2.0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD14.5%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Linke9.5%±0
- FDP6.5%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Mar 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,049 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Mar 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 27.0
- SPD -1.0average 15.5
- Grüne +0.8average 22.2
- Linke +0.3average 9.2
- AfD +0.1average 12.9
- FDP ±0average 6.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- Grüne153
- SPD96
- AfD86
- Linke63
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.