INSA poll of 9 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 2,050
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%±0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- AfD14.0%+0.5
- Linke9.5%-0.5
- FDP6.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Mar 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,050 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Mar 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Mar 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 12.9
- Grüne -0.5average 22.5
- Linke +0.3average 9.2
- SPD -0.2average 15.7
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 26.6
- FDP ±0average 6.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU177
- Grüne147
- SPD104
- AfD94
- Linke64
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.