Single poll
INSA poll of 3 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Feb 2020 to 2 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 2,061
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,061 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2020 to 2 Mar 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Feb 2020, SPD gains 1.5 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +0.6average 22.4
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- AfD +0.6average 12.9
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.9
- Linke +0.4average 9.6
- FDP -0.4average 6.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne152
- SPD106
- AfD90
- Linke66
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 25 Feb 2020INSA, 9 Mar 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.