INSA poll of 11 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 2,086
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- Grüne22.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- SPD12.5%-0.5
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Feb 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,086 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Feb 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Feb 2020, Linke gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.5average 14.0
- Linke +1.2average 8.8
- AfD +0.7average 13.3
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 27.8
- FDP +0.2average 7.8
- Grüne +0.1average 21.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- Grüne147
- AfD94
- SPD84
- Linke67
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.