INSA poll of 3 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2020 to 3 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 2,059
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%+1.5
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jan 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,059 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2020 to 3 Feb 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jan 2020, Grüne gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +0.9average 8.1
- Linke -0.9average 8.9
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.2
- Grüne -0.4average 22.4
- SPD -0.4average 13.4
- AfD +0.3average 13.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne147
- AfD94
- SPD87
- FDP60
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.