INSA poll of 27 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 2,081
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
- Grüne20.5%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+0.5
- Linke8.5%-1.0
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Jan 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.5%. 2,081 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Jan 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Jan 2020, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 22.0
- AfD +1.0average 14.0
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- SPD +0.3average 13.7
- Linke -0.3average 8.8
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne137
- AfD101
- SPD94
- FDP60
- Linke57
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.