INSA poll of 21 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 2,122
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- Grüne21.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- SPD13.0%+0.5
- Linke9.5%+0.5
- FDP8.5%-1.0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jan 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,122 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Jan 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jan 2020, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- Grüne -0.7average 21.7
- Linke +0.7average 8.8
- SPD -0.6average 13.6
- FDP +0.5average 8.0
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne140
- AfD100
- SPD87
- Linke63
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP327 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.