INSA poll of 14 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 2,040
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- SPD12.5%-0.5
- FDP9.5%+0.5
- Linke9.0%+0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jan 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,040 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Jan 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jan 2020, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.2average 8.3
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- SPD -0.9average 13.4
- Grüne -0.6average 21.6
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne141
- AfD100
- SPD84
- FDP64
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.