INSA poll of 6 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 2,048
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.5%+0.5
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Dec 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 2,048 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Jan 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Dec 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 27.5
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- SPD -0.7average 13.7
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- Grüne +0.2average 21.3
- Linke -0.1average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne143
- AfD93
- SPD86
- FDP60
- Linke56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke334 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.