INSA poll of 24 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 2,034
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.5
- Linke8.0%-1.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Dec 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,034 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Dec 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Dec 2019, FDP gains 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.9average 8.1
- SPD -1.0average 14.0
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
- Grüne -0.2average 21.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne139
- AfD100
- SPD86
- FDP66
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.