INSA poll of 18 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 2,065
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-1.0
- Grüne20.5%-1.5
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- SPD14.5%+2.0
- Linke9.5%-0.5
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Others6.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Feb 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.5%. 2,065 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Feb 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Feb 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 22.0
- AfD +1.4average 13.6
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 27.7
- FDP +0.9average 6.6
- Linke +0.1average 9.4
- SPD ±0average 14.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne138
- AfD101
- SPD98
- Linke64
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + Grüne316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.