Single poll
INSA poll of 9 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 2,052
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.5%. 2,052 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Dec 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Dec 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 21.6
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 27.3
- AfD +0.7average 14.3
- SPD +0.6average 13.4
- FDP +0.3average 8.2
- Linke -0.3average 8.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne137
- AfD100
- SPD93
- FDP57
- Linke57
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD330 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 2 Dec 2019INSA, 16 Dec 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.