INSA poll of 2 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Nov 2019 to 2 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 2,060
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%±0
- Grüne21.5%-0.5
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- SPD13.5%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-0.5
- FDP8.5%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Nov 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 2,060 people were surveyed from 29 Nov 2019 to 2 Dec 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Nov 2019, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 13.8
- FDP +0.8average 7.7
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.2
- SPD -0.5average 14.0
- Grüne -0.1average 21.6
- Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne144
- AfD101
- SPD90
- Linke60
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.