INSA poll of 26 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 2,069
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%+1.5
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- SPD14.5%-1.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- Linke9.5%-0.5
- FDP8.5%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Nov 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,069 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Nov 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Nov 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.0average 21.0
- FDP +0.8average 7.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.0
- AfD +0.2average 13.8
- Linke +0.1average 9.4
- SPD ±0average 14.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne146
- SPD96
- AfD93
- Linke63
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.