INSA poll of 18 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 4,115
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-0.5
- Grüne21.0%+0.5
- SPD15.5%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+0.5
- FDP8.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Nov 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 4,115 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Nov 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Nov 2019, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 26.9
- AfD +1.2average 13.8
- Linke +0.9average 9.1
- SPD +0.8average 14.7
- FDP +0.6average 7.9
- Grüne -0.1average 21.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU166
- Grüne139
- SPD103
- AfD100
- Linke66
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD408 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.