INSA poll of 12 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 2,096
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%±0
- Grüne20.5%-0.5
- SPD15.5%+2.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- Linke9.5%-0.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Nov 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.5%. 2,096 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Nov 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Nov 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 27.2
- SPD +1.3average 14.2
- Grüne -1.1average 21.6
- AfD +1.1average 13.9
- Linke +0.7average 8.8
- FDP +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- Grüne137
- SPD104
- AfD100
- Linke64
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD412 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD408 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.