INSA poll of 29 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 2,042
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%+0.5
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- SPD13.5%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP7.5%±0
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Oct 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,042 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Oct 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Oct 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 28.2
- AfD +1.9average 13.6
- Linke +1.1average 7.9
- Grüne +1.0average 22.0
- SPD -0.7average 14.2
- FDP +0.1average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne153
- AfD103
- SPD90
- Linke60
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD367 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke324 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.