Single poll
INSA poll of 22 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 2,041
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.5%. 2,041 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Oct 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Oct 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.2average 7.8
- AfD +1.1average 13.9
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- SPD -0.6average 14.1
- Grüne +0.1average 22.4
- FDP +0.1average 7.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- Grüne150
- AfD100
- SPD90
- Linke60
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke340 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP320 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 15 Oct 2019INSA, 29 Oct 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.