Single poll
INSA poll of 15 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 2,052
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 2,052 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Oct 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Oct 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 23.0
- AfD +1.0average 14.0
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 27.4
- SPD +0.2average 13.8
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- FDP -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne144
- AfD100
- SPD94
- Linke54
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 8 Oct 2019INSA, 22 Oct 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.