Single poll
INSA poll of 8 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 2,059
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,059 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Oct 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Sep 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 14.1
- Grüne -1.7average 22.7
- Linke +1.4average 7.6
- SPD -1.0average 14.0
- FDP +0.8average 7.7
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- Grüne140
- AfD106
- SPD87
- Linke60
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + Grüne320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP324 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 30 Sep 2019INSA, 15 Oct 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.