Single poll
INSA poll of 23 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 2,052
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,052 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Sep 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Sep 2019, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.4 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.4average 13.6
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 27.6
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- FDP +0.9average 7.1
- Grüne -0.4average 22.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne147
- AfD107
- SPD94
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD375 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 16 Sep 2019INSA, 30 Sep 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.