INSA poll of 16 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 2,053
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-0.5
- Grüne22.5%+0.5
- AfD16.0%+0.5
- SPD13.5%±0
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke7.5%±0
- Others6.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Sep 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 22.5%. 2,053 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Sep 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Sep 2019, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.5average 13.5
- SPD -1.4average 14.9
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 27.8
- FDP +0.6average 6.9
- Grüne -0.2average 22.7
- Linke -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne152
- AfD108
- SPD91
- FDP51
- Linke50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD377 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.