INSA poll of 10 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 2,033
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%-1.5
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- SPD13.5%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-0.5
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Sep 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,033 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Sep 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Sep 2019, Grüne loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 13.6
- Grüne -1.3average 23.3
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- SPD -0.8average 14.3
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- Linke +0.3average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- Grüne148
- AfD104
- SPD91
- FDP54
- Linke51
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD377 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.