INSA poll of 2 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Aug 2019 to 2 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 2,017
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne23.5%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- SPD14.5%+1.5
- FDP8.5%+0.5
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Aug 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.5%. 2,017 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2019 to 2 Sep 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Aug 2019, SPD gains 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 13.1
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 27.4
- FDP +0.8average 7.7
- SPD +0.7average 13.8
- Grüne -0.6average 24.1
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU173
- Grüne156
- AfD100
- SPD97
- FDP57
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD370 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.