INSA poll of 26 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,058
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-0.5
- Grüne24.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%+0.5
- SPD13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Aug 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,058 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Aug 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Aug 2019, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 13.2
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 27.2
- SPD -0.5average 13.5
- FDP +0.2average 7.8
- Grüne -0.1average 24.1
- Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne161
- AfD100
- SPD87
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD361 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.