INSA poll of 20 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,056
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-1.0
- Grüne24.5%+1.0
- AfD14.5%±0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others4.5%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Aug 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by Grüne on 24.5%. 2,056 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Aug 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Aug 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 13.1
- FDP +0.9average 8.1
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.9
- Grüne +0.3average 24.2
- SPD -0.3average 13.3
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU175
- Grüne161
- AfD96
- SPD86
- FDP59
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD357 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP320 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.