Single poll
INSA poll of 12 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 11 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,060
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 23.5%. 2,060 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Aug 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Aug 2019, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 13.1
- Grüne -1.0average 24.5
- SPD -1.0average 13.0
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.0
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne157
- AfD97
- SPD80
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke316 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 5 Aug 2019INSA, 20 Aug 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.