INSA poll of 5 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,049
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- Grüne23.5%-1.0
- AfD15.0%+0.5
- SPD11.5%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jul 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 23.5%. 2,049 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Aug 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jul 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.1 points higher and SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.1average 12.9
- SPD -1.8average 13.3
- Linke +1.0average 8.0
- FDP +0.8average 8.2
- Grüne -0.7average 24.2
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- Grüne155
- AfD99
- SPD76
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke340 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.