INSA poll of 30 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 2,036
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.5
- Grüne24.5%+2.0
- AfD14.5%±0
- SPD12.5%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others4.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jul 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.5%. 2,036 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Jul 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jul 2019, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.0average 12.5
- SPD -0.9average 13.4
- FDP +0.8average 8.2
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 27.3
- Grüne +0.2average 24.3
- Linke -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne162
- AfD96
- SPD82
- FDP59
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD356 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP319 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.