INSA poll of 22 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 2,081
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.5%+2.5
- Grüne22.5%-0.5
- AfD14.5%+0.5
- SPD12.5%-1.5
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jul 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 22.5%. 2,081 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Jul 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jul 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.5 points, SPD loses 1.5 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.5 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.5average 25.0
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 26.7
- AfD +1.8average 12.7
- SPD -0.7average 13.2
- Linke -0.2average 8.2
- FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- Grüne150
- AfD97
- SPD84
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.