INSA poll of 9 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 2,069
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- SPD13.5%+0.5
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jul 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,069 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Jul 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jul 2019, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 25.4
- AfD +1.4average 12.6
- Linke +0.7average 7.8
- SPD +0.5average 13.0
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- FDP +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne159
- AfD93
- SPD90
- Linke56
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD362 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.