INSA poll of 25 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 2,078
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- Grüne25.5%+0.5
- AfD13.5%±0
- SPD12.5%-0.5
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.5%-0.5
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jun 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by Grüne on 25.5%. 2,078 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Jun 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jun 2019, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 26.9
- Linke +1.2average 7.8
- Grüne +0.9average 24.6
- AfD +0.9average 12.6
- SPD -0.9average 13.4
- FDP +0.6average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU170
- Grüne170
- AfD90
- SPD83
- Linke60
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD343 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke320 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP317 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.