INSA poll of 18 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 2,060
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- Grüne25.0%-1.5
- AfD13.5%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.5
- Others5.5%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Jun 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 2,060 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Jun 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Jun 2019, Grüne loses 1.5 points, Linke gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 27.4
- Grüne +2.0average 23.0
- SPD -1.3average 14.3
- Linke +1.1average 7.9
- AfD +1.0average 12.5
- FDP +0.7average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU167
- Grüne166
- AfD90
- SPD87
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD344 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke317 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP316 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.