INSA poll of 11 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 2,074
- Method
- Online
- Grüne26.5%+1.5
- CDU/CSU24.0%-2.0
- AfD13.5%+0.5
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke7.5%-0.5
- Others6.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jun 2019.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 26.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,074 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Jun 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jun 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 3.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.5average 23.0
- CDU/CSU -3.4average 27.4
- SPD -1.4average 14.4
- AfD +1.2average 12.3
- FDP +0.8average 8.2
- Linke -0.4average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne178
- CDU/CSU162
- AfD91
- SPD88
- FDP61
- Linke50
- Grüne + CDU/CSU340 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD341 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP330 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP327 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke319 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.