INSA poll of 3 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.5
- Grüne25.0%+6.0
- SPD14.0%-1.5
- AfD13.0%-0.5
- FDP8.0%-1.5
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 May 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 Jun 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 May 2019, Grüne gains 6.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 5.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +5.5average 19.5
- CDU/CSU -2.8average 28.8
- SPD -2.5average 16.5
- Linke -0.5average 8.5
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
- FDP -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne167
- SPD94
- AfD87
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD355 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.