INSA poll of 27 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 May 2019
- Respondents
- 2,039
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- Grüne19.0%+0.5
- SPD15.5%±0
- AfD13.5%-0.5
- FDP9.5%-0.5
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 May 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,039 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 May 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 May 2019, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.6 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.6average 17.1
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 29.0
- FDP +1.2average 8.3
- Grüne +0.6average 18.4
- AfD +0.6average 12.9
- Linke +0.3average 8.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- Grüne127
- SPD104
- AfD91
- FDP64
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.