INSA poll of 7 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 May 2019
- Respondents
- 2,089
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.5%+0.5
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.5%-0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Apr 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,089 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 May 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Apr 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.2average 18.8
- AfD +1.1average 12.9
- SPD -0.9average 16.9
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 28.9
- Linke -0.3average 8.8
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- Grüne131
- SPD105
- AfD92
- FDP59
- Linke56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.