INSA poll of 13 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 May 2019
- Respondents
- 2,044
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.5%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.5%+0.5
- Linke9.0%+0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 May 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,044 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 May 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 May 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 8.4
- AfD +1.0average 13.0
- SPD -0.9average 16.9
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 29.3
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- Grüne125
- SPD105
- AfD92
- FDP62
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD417 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.