INSA poll of 29 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- Grüne19.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Apr 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Apr 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.3average 8.7
- AfD +1.2average 12.8
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 28.9
- SPD -0.9average 16.9
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
- Linke +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne125
- SPD105
- AfD92
- FDP66
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke334 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.