INSA poll of 23 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-0.5
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+0.5
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Apr 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Apr 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 18.9
- Linke +1.4average 8.6
- FDP +1.3average 8.7
- AfD +1.2average 12.8
- SPD -1.1average 17.1
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 29.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- Grüne110
- SPD104
- AfD91
- FDP65
- Linke65
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.