INSA poll of 15 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 2,013
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.5%+1.5
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- SPD15.5%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%+0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Apr 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,013 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Apr 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 12.3
- SPD -1.4average 16.9
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 29.4
- Grüne -0.6average 18.6
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- Grüne118
- SPD102
- AfD92
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.